Sunday, November 25, 2018

Quarter-mark goods and bads

The 2018-19 NHL season officially passed the point of being 25 percent done going into Thanksgiving weekend -- or "American Thanksgiving," as our Canadian friends more accurately call it -- and one of the wags at Yahoo Sports chose to mark the moment by writing about one thing that each team should be thankful for.

But those 31 things, one per team, are just his opinion, and who says his opinion is better than mine?

Ever eager to steal improve upon an idea, I decided to publish my own list and make it include one positive thing and one negative thing concerning each team's season up to now. There's no way a season can be all sunshine and daisies and puppy dogs, right? Here goes...

Anaheim Ducks
The Good:  John Gibson. The Ducks have been depleted by injuries, and are getting outshot at a clip of 36 to 27 per game and getting badly outchanced as well. Yet thanks to the 25-year-old Pittsburgh native who guards their net, they would be in the playoffs if the playoffs started today. Gibson is covering up their warts with his .927 save percentage, and stealing wins for them in games they deserve to lose. Count him in as the Vezina frontrunner.

The Bad:  I'll just copy and paste one of the sentences from above: The Ducks have been depleted by injuries, and are getting outshot at a clip of 36 to 27 per game and getting badly outchanced as well. If that doesn't change, it will sink them over the course of an 82-game season no matter how well John Gibson plays. It just has to.


Arizona Coyotes
The Good:  The penalty kill. Entering Friday, Coyote opponents had been on the power play 62 times, during which the Coyotes had scored a whopping 10 goals while yielding only 5. To put that in perspective, consider that only two teams had more than 10 short-handed goals for all of last season.

The Bad:  Same old results. Despite that excellent penalty kill and despite what appears to be an upgraded roster with a promising amount of talent, the 'Yotes yet again sit near the bottom of the standings. Right now they are in seventh place in the Pacific Division and tied for the third-worst record in the league.


Boston Bruins
The Good:  David Pastrnak. With 17 goals and 26 total points in 23 games, he continues to prove that he is one of the league's most potent offensive forces.

The Bad:  Depth. Or more specifically, lack thereof. Boston's top line of Pastrnak, Patrice Bergeron, and Brad Marchand might be the best on the planet, but the team's scoring dries up when they're not on the ice -- which isn't good when you are trying to win the Stanley Cup and to do so you will need to get through the likes of Toronto, Tampa Bay, etc. in your own conference and then will need to face the likes of Nashville, Winnipeg, etc. from the other conference.


Buffalo Sabres
The Good:  The turning of the worm. The Sabres have been stockpiling a considerable amount of young talent for a few years now, and that talent is finally starting to produce the kind of results everyone has been waiting on. The sun rose today with the Sabres having the best record in the entire NHL, a mark they have earned without smoke and mirrors.

The Bad:  Goaltending. Actually the Sabres' goaltending has been quite good, but Carter Hutton is about to turn 33 and has never been considered among the NHL's best, so I can't help but wonder whether a downturn is around the corner (and if one is, I wonder whether Linus Ullmark, now in his fourth season but with only 32 appearances under his belt, has what it takes to backstop a team to the post-season).


Calgary Flames
The Good:  David Rittich. Right as 36-year-old goalie Mike Smith has started to flounder in net (.876 save percentage), in has ridden the 26-year-old Rittich to save the day and give Calgary fans reason to believe they might be able to make some post-season noise. Rittich's sample size might be considered small (12 games this season) but his .930 save percentage and 2.04 goals-against average are very good.

The Bad:  James Neal. When the Flames signed him to a five-year contract with an annual cap hit of $5.75 million, they thought they were getting one of the NHL's more dependable scoring threats. But Neal has just four points in the first 23 games, is minus-5, and has often found himself relegated to the bottom-six.


Carolina Hurricanes
The Good:  Sebastian Aho. The 21-year-old Finn is having a breakout campaign thus far, his 25 points in 23 games bringing some long-needed offensive excitement to Raleigh and a long-needed "face of the franchise" as well.

The Bad:  Same old results. Granted, the Canes do look a little better this year, but, playing in a weakened Metropolitan Division, they would still be two points out of the final wild card spot if the playoffs started today.


Chicago Blackhawks
The Good:  Corey Crawford's return to the lineup.

The Bad:  Everything else, literally. It's hard to believe the Hawks' recently mighty empire has crumbled to dust, but it's true.


Colorado Avalanche
The Good:  That top line. There are other lines in competition for the title of "best in the NHL," but Colorado's salvo of Nathan MacKinnon, Mikko Rantanen, and Gabriel Landeskog clearly is the best, at least in my book. Rantanen and MacKinnon are 1-2 in the league in total points while Landeskog's 14 goals are tied for fifth.

The Bad:  Depth. Or more specifically, lack thereof. The drop-off when you get past Colorado's top line might not be the worst in the NHL, but it's drastic enough to limit this team's potential.


Columbus Blue Jackets
The Good:  The standings. Despite some notable injuries and surprisingly subpar goaltending by Sergei Bobrovsky, the Jackets are just one point out of first place in the Metropolitan. If "Bob" gets back to his regular self, which he probably will, watch out.

The Bad:  Contract uncertainty surrounding their Russian stars. Bobrovsky is the franchise's backbone, Artemi Panarin is far and away its top offensive gun, they both become unrestricted free agents after this season -- and neither of them sounds eager to remain in Ohio long-term. Gulp


Dallas Stars
The Good:  Alexander Radulov's return from injury. Since coming back 14 games ago, the spunky Russkie from Nizhny Tagil has banged in 8 goals and dished out 12 assists for an average of 1.43 points per contest.

The Bad:  Ben Bishop's injury bug. He was recently named one of the top 100 goalies of all time, and deservedly so, but Bishop has been dogged by injuries his entire career and this past week he wound up on IR again. The Stars need him on the ice and at his peak if they are going to have any chance of making a playoff run.


Detroit Red Wings
The Good:  The 180. Not long after losing their first seven games, the Wings flipped the script by winning six in a row and they have now won 11 of their last 15.

The Bad:  The 180. You never want to see athletes do poorly and have a bad season. But this team is not a contender, and in order for it to resume being one, it really needs to finish low in the standings to increase its chances of getting a high draft pick for the first time since dinosaurs roamed the earth. If this recent spate of winning doesn't stop, the necessary rebuild will be sabotaged delayed (and yes, I absolutely hate this way of thinking, but there's some truth to it nonetheless).


Edmonton Oilers
The Good:  Connor McDavid is on the roster.

The Bad:  Peter Chiarelli is in charge of constructing the rest of the roster around McDavid.


Florida Panthers
The Good:  Aleksander Barkov's consistently strong two-way play. He does not get the media attention he deserves, but he is one of the best players on the planet.

The Bad:  Vincent Trocheck's injury .


Los Angeles Kings
The Good:  Drew Doughty is still committed to the team.

The Bad:  The team is floundering and regressing and has a barren prospect pool, and its average player age is approximately 372 years, 239 days.


Minnesota Wild
The Good:  The resurgence of Zach Parise, Mikko Koivu, and Ryan Suter.

The Bad:  Having to play in the same division as Nashville and Winnipeg.


Montreal Canadiens
The Good:  The nobody-saw-that-coming emergence of Max Domi as a high-end scoring threat.

The Bad:  Carey Price. Two years ago he was widely considered the greatest goalie in the world. Then, last season he had by far his worst campaign ever, and now this season is even worse. Price is sporting a subterranean save percentage of .895, which ranks 37th best in the 31-team NHL, and did I mention he is already 31 yet this is the first year of his eight-year contract under which he counts $10.5 million per season against the salary cap?


Nashville Predators
The Good:  That Blue Line. Roman Josi, PK Subban, Ryan Ellis, and Mattias Ekholm all on one roster? That's just not fair to the rest of the league.

The Bad:  Having to play in the same division as Winnipeg. That's just not fair to the Preds, because no matter how awesome a regular season they churn out, they will go unrewarded for it come playoff time as they'll be forced to face the Jets prior to the conference finals.


New Jersey Devils
The Good:  They have three players shooting greater than 18 percent for the season (including two who are over 20 percent) and not a one of 'em is named Taylor Hall. For the record, those players are Travis Zajac at 25.9 percent, Brian Boyle at 21.2, and Kyle Palmieri at 18.2.

The Bad: One year after surprising everyone by making the playoffs, the Devils have regressed to a last-place tie in the Metropolitan.


New York Islanders
The Good:  Barzal & Co. With five different forwards averaging two-thirds or more points per game, the Isles' offense is performing well enough that it doesn't feel like there's been much of a drop in the wake of John Tavares splitting town.

The Bad:  Trying to keep from thinking of how much better this offense would be right now if Tavares hadn't split town.


New York Rangers
The Good:  20-year-old Brett Howden and 19-year-old Filip Chytil have 12 and 8 points, respectively, and Alexandar Georgiev, the Rangers' young backup goalie from Bulgaria, is 4-2 with a .911 save percentage in the games he has started.

The Bad:  The Rangers, like the Red Wings, are playing too good to give themselves their best chance of landing a high draft pick that might boost their rebuild. They are in playoff position right now, whereas their long-term future would be better served if they were dead last (and yes, I hated typing this concept just as much now as I did when I typed it about the Red Wings).


Ottawa Senators
The Good:  The semblance of a quality core. Ottawa's overall roster may be wanting, but Matt Duchene, Mark Stone, and Thomas Chabot are all averaging more than a point per game, and 19-year-old Brady Tkachuk looks like the real deal with his moxie and his 11 points in 12 outings. These are the kind of pieces around which a good team can certainly be built.

The Bad:  Eugene Melnyk, famed maestro of incompetence and miserliness, still owns the team. Therefore it is almost impossible not to believe that he will cause them to lose pending free agents Duchene and Stone, and that before long he will trade away Tkachuk for pennies on the dollar. It is especially easy to feel such fear after seeing this holiday weekend's example of Melnyk's latest incompetence.


Philadelphia Flyers
The Good:  Wayne Simmonds is playing like a man possessed.

The Bad:  Ron Hextall is the best goaltender currently employed by the organization... but he is the GM and has not played a single game this century.


Pittsburgh Penguins
The Good:  The Big Three. The players who comprise Pittsburgh's triumvirate of superstars -- Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin, and Phil Kessel -- continue to pile up points and perform splendidly in all three zones.

The Bad:  The rest of the team. Its secondary scoring has dried up, its defense corps is a sieve, and its goaltending is wobbly with starter Matt Murray surrendering more than four goals per game before being sidelined by injury. Because of these issues, the Penguins, though only 17 months removed from winning their second straight Stanley Cup, are seven points out of the final wild card spot. Yikes.


St. Louis Blues
The Good:  Ryan O'Reilly. Though known mostly for his defensive prowess and "hockey IQ," this 27-year-old is flaunting considerable offensive touch in his first year with the team. O'Reilly leads the Blues in all three offensive categories (by a wide margin) and is on pace to pulverize his career bests.

The Bad:  When you are expected to contend for a playoff spot, yet fire your head coach a quarter of the way into the season and find yourself sitting in last place at the end of that same week, that has to be a sign that things aren't going well, right?


San Jose Sharks
The Good:  That Blue Line. Erik Karlsson, Brent Burns, and Marc-Edouard Vlasic all on the same roster? That means the Sharks, if they wanted, could spread them out instead of grouping them and as a result would have a Norris Trophy caliber defenseman playing on every single one of their defense pairings. Holy guacamole.

The Bad:  You might need to take out a second mortgage to afford to go to a game at SAP Center (but then again, that's really your problem, not the team's).


Tampa Bay Lightning
The Good:  Brayden Point. Let's see, this young centerman has 28 points in 23 games, recently rang up a natural hat trick in 91 seconds, and plays Selke-level defense to boot. He belongs in the Hart Trophy conversation, pure and simple.

The Bad:  It seems like they get outshot every night. Fortunately they are so good that they still have the second-best record in the East, but when your goal is to win it all instead of just make the playoffs, getting outshot on a regular basis is the kind of thing that can, and eventually probably will, sink you.


Toronto Maple Leafs
The Good:  Frederik Andersen. With a .931 save percentage and 2.24 GAA, the red-headed goalie from Denmark is covering up the Leafs' defensive thinness and is looking like a Vezina winner in the process.

The Bad:  The constant cascade of no-information articles about the William Nylander contract impasse. Enough already!


Vancouver Canucks
The Good:  Elias Pettersson. Nuff said. Give him the Calder already.

The Bad:  Coming back to Earth. After a promising start that had them in playoff position a couple weeks back, the Canucks have regressed and slid down the standings and are now four spots behind the final wild card.


Vegas Golden Knights
The Good:  Their underlying numbers are still good.

The Bad:  Their record (12-12-1) is unimpressive and that's largely because Marc-Andre Fleury's goaltending has not been up to his usual standards.


Washington Capitals
The Good:  Tom Wilson. Of course everybody else who plays in or follows the NHL was unhappy when Wilson's suspension got reduced, but Washington's players and fans are thrilled that he is back. In the seven games since he returned to the fold, the Caps are 6-1 and he has racked up nine points on four goals and five assists.

The Bad:  Wondering what the goaltending will be like if Braden Holtby gets injured... since, prior to this season, new backup Phoenix Copley had posted a career save percentage of only .829 at the NHL level.


Winnipeg Jets
The Good:  Kyle Connor (20 points in 20 games, +6) is not having a sophomore slump.

The Bad:  Having to play in the same division as Nashville. That's just not fair to the Jets, because no matter how awesome a regular season they churn out, they will go unrewarded for it come playoff time as they'll be forced to face the Preds prior to the conference finals.

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